Category: Fantasy Sports

Top Running Backs for NFL Wild Card Games January 9, 2016

Playing a Saturday Only GPP will leave your running back situation in disarray. Even if Deangelo Williams is good-to-go after dealing with a foot injury (not ankle as previously reported), you can’t expect much from a hobbled Williams. This leaves you with Fitzgerald Toussaint and Jordan Todman for Pittsburgh, Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware for Kansas City, Alfred Blue and 3 other running backs (Polk, Grimes, and Hunt) for Houston, and Bernard and Hill for Cincinnati.

It’s safe to say, none of these players are considered bell cows for their team, and typically split the running back duties. In order to get the most points out of your lineup, you have to look at the matchups and even go to each team’s website for this weekend’s game plan.

#1 Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers

Originally we were told DeAngelo Williams was dealing with a high ankle sprain, but new reports suggest it’s a foot injury.  According to head coach Mike Tomlin, it is hard to tell whether or not Williams will play be able to play. The team is currently preparing for Saturday’s matchup with the Bengals with running backs Fitzgerald Toussaint and Jordan Todman. It’s looking like Toussaint (5’11,” 210 lbs.) will handle the bulk of the running attack, while Todman will be more for pass-catching, and fullback Wil Johnson will be worth of goal-line opportunities.

I like Toussaint as a sleeper pick, because Williams was able to reach 23.1 fantasy points in his last outing against the Bengals (17th vs. RBs and 7th in total Rushing Yards). If Toussaint is able to take on the majority of the touches, he could wind up with 15-25 fantasy points thanks to the additional receptions. It’s somewhat of a ‘flier’ option, especially if Big Ben is asked to throw 50+ times, but Tomlin seems excited to utilize Toussaint, which makes me excited.

Prediction: 17 rushes, 91 yards, 1 TD, 4 receptions, 52 yards, 24-27 fantasy points

#2 Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have spent most of the year splitting touches between Giovanni Bernard and Jeremy Hill. Even though Hill carries the majority of the running workload, he hasn’t produced like he did in 2014. Bernard has been hit or miss, because he needs the screen plays to potentially break off a long play, and there is no guarantee (w/A.J. McCarron) that those plays will be successful. Hill only had 9 total touches in their last meeting, which resulted in a whopping 4.4 fantasy points. Bernard also had 9 touches and 9.7 fantasy points. Neither one of them are exciting options on the surface, but the playoffs bring on a whole new meaning. Continue reading “Top Running Backs for NFL Wild Card Games January 9, 2016”

NFL Playoffs – Strategize with Sunday and Monday Night Specials

The 2015 NFL regular season is about to end, but that doesn’t mean your NFL daily fantasy sports is over. The playoffs are right around the corner and there is a different strategy that needs to be utilized.

The best contests to practice in are the Sunday Night Special and Monday Night Special GPP contests. Both of these contests only offer two games, so the pool of players is limited. It’s the closest thing to picking daily sports fantasy lineups for the NFL playoffs.

Here are a few tips to get you in the top 25%:

Configuring Different Combinations

One of the best ways to enhance your odds is by entering into one contest multiple times. For example purposes, let’s say Kansas City, Houston, Cincinnati, and the New York Jets (this will most likely change by the end of week 17) end up as the first 4 teams to play in the AFC.

If you enter your GPP contest four times, you can use each one of the quarterbacks. You will also be able to do this with the Tight End position and each team’s defense. Now, how you decide to create these combinations is up to you, but there are certain strategies that can help increase your odds of winnings.

Home Team Defenses and Quarterbacks

If you look back at the majority of the top winning lineups in the Millionaire Maker contest, the majority of the quarterbacks and defenses are home teams. By process of elimination you would probably end up with Alex Smith and AJ McCarron (or Keith Wenning if McCarron is still hurt).

If you’re the type of person that enjoys using or building algorithms to create lineups every week, those three names above don’t look like winners. However, the”flier” as they are called, is what you want to have against other entries in a GPP. So, if AJ McCarron is only owned by 2.9% of the entrants, and 575,000 entries are listed, you could make a huge dent if he comes through with a solid performance. Continue reading “NFL Playoffs – Strategize with Sunday and Monday Night Specials”

How to Pick the Best Team

When it comes to choosing your NBA DraftKings lineup, there are a host of strategies at your disposal. Unfortunately these strategies certainly are not full proof. In fact, last night I had four players that were hurt before half-time in one of the contests I played. However, thanks to my specific bankroll strategy, it was a minor loss, and I still won money by the end of the night.

Then there will be players that you never see coming. They will only play about 15 minutes a game, but they get hot during that time, which quickly turns fifteen minutes into thirty and about 30 to 40 points instead of 10. The point is; there are some things you just can’t account for when the game starts. However, there a few things you can do that will help create the best possible lineup.

NBA DraftKings lineup

#1 Knowing the Categories

Once you’ve entered an NBA contest, you will have nine spots to fill:

1 Point Guard
1 Shooting Guard
1 Small Forward
1 Power Forward
1 Center
1 Guard (point guard or shooting guard)
1 Forward (small forward or power forward)
1 Utility (this can be one player from any position)

#2 Understanding the Player Options

The very first time I entered an NBA contest, I basically picked my team in the order they were listed (point guard, then shooting guard, then small forward, etc.). The problem with this approach is you don’t necessarily pick the smartest choice in each category. You have to look through each position and see what type of talent is available. On any given night, you will only find 3-5 good choices in one position, but you might have 12 good to decent choices in another category. Why is this important?

Often times you can pay $8,000 to $9,000 (sometimes more) for an elite player, but by the end of the night, a $4,500 player at the same position will have more fantasy points. Then again, you might find certain positions where you will have to take the expensive players, because the value picks are a little light. The smartest approach is to go ahead and draft the expensive players where it is necessary, and then fill in the rest based on the salary you have left to spend.

#3 Defenses vs. Position

When you are drafting each player, you can maximize their potential by checking an opponent’s defense versus a certain position. This can be done by clicking on the face of the player when you’re in the drafting area. This will load the player’s information card. When you click on “matchup,” it provides with a variety of statistics, and one of them is how the opponent fairs against that player’s position (e.g. Sacramento ranks 16th vs. SFs).

If you use these research strategies in the beginning, you overall point totals will see a massive increase.